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With Building materials we are seeing increased government regulation, timber tariffs on
imported from Canada. Paper industry is in trouble and the replanted forests and forest farms are usually fast growing trees good for paper, not
building grade timber. Housing spikes caused this, many areas growing fast.
Oil prices up due to manipulations in supply, Middle East issues, China coming on strong with
needs of her own, Military needs effecting supply and demand issues, International Terrorists screwing with infrastructures, South American trade
war paybacks, oil pipelines too few, Nimby-ism slowing output and inflows while the demand has increased, Airline fuel down and therefore price
has too increase to pay for the direct cost loads.
Our growth and consumerism has outpaced our supply and infrastructures. With energy the
Blackout of 2003, rolling CA issues, generation plants being shut down, slowness of building new Nuclear Power Plants, issues in OR along the
major Columbia River with Bonneville Power, issues with CA and SMUD, issues with upgrades needed in Coal Plants to meet EPA upgrades also same
problems in VA, NC, SC, and the Tennessee River Valley Authority.
Pipeline break in AZ and Phoenix they were paying nearly $2.00 per gallon, but now in CA they
are at $2.65 per gallon. Sabotage in Iraq screws up supply for worldwide market. We are seeing OPEC moving forward to keep prices high, China
coming online with needs, world demand is going up, takes too long to ramp up our own production and few companies wish too, for fear of dropping
of prices too quickly, meanwhile we are seeing $2.46 gasoline on West Coast and $1.90 in San Antonio, no one expects these prices to come down,
recessions follow high fuel prices by 6 months?
So these are all issues and everything we buy has these high costs figured in. Construction,
farming, transportation. Some school districts complaining about cost of buses and kids hurting budgets and at the same time increased prices
mean more monies to state coffers which charge percentages of fuel prices as tax.
This article is in no way a doom and gloom showing, because I do see increased economic
sunshine in many markets, but not all, those which have the burdens of drought, fires, shortages and manufacturing are going to see some more
tough times. When energy goes up, some businesses running redline on low margins with lots of competition will see harder times and layoffs in
the near future, while other sectors will be continuing the recovery.
These companies must raise prices, nearly all airlines have announced even additional higher
fares this week, 14 of the largest trucking companies; the ones which haul the food, building materials, cars to dealerships and everything on
every shelf in America. Railroad is increasing rates too.
And Independent truck drivers holding on by a thread with insurance costs up too. We are also
not going to be able to release the Military reserves in such uncertain times. So Inflation, there she blows and meanwhile interest rates will
increase and money flows continue offshore.
What is of concern is that without increased wages, higher percentages of consumer incomes will
be spent on food, gas, energy and other artificially inflated or supply and demand driven goods and services, yes that includes many
sectors.
Now is a very important time in our nations history and in the business cycles at hand. We will
get through this as it also hits other nations who sell to us, the trick is to come out of this present period with after burners blazing and set
a course to the future prosperity and into the annals of destiny. Which we may write thru our human spirit and will.

By Lance Winslow
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